Asian markets mixed as caution over rate outlook dulls sentiment
Asian markets were mixed Friday as caution permeated trading floors and investors tried to gauge the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy after several officials tried to temper optimism over signs that inflation is slowing.
While the week has been broadly positive for equities following softer-than-expected US consumer and wholesale price figures, a strong reading on retail sales and jobless claims showed plenty of resilience to higher interest rates.
With that in mind, St Louis Fed President James Bullard warned more hikes were needed to bring inflation down from four-decade highs, adding that they might need to go as high as seven percent.
That was followed by Minneapolis Fed boss Neel Kaskari saying he had not witnessed much evidence that underlying demand was cooling and did not want to forecast when the tightening would end.
The comments came after a similar message from other policymakers, who have sought to calm markets, which soared in the wake of last Thursday's consumer prices reading.
They also fuelled fears among traders that the sharp tightening campaign -- including four straight bumper 0.75-point increases in a row -- would tip the world's top economy into recession.
On Wednesday, Kansas City Fed chief Esther George said it was unclear how the bank can douse inflation "without having some real slowing" or even a contraction.
Wall Street's three main indexes ended in the red, and Asia struggled to hold on to the morning's momentum.
Hong Kong turned negative after a strong start, even as tech firms rallied and after China indicated it would ease back on some of its strict Covid restrictions and help its troubled property sector.
Tokyo, Shanghai, Singapore, Taipei and Mumbai were also down, though Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Manila, Bangkok and Jakarta edged up.
- 'Fundamental disconnect' -
There was a fear among analysts that the recent rally may have run a little ahead of itself.
"The market believes that inflation is on the downtrend. We also believe that, but the fact of inflation having peaked is not a reason for the Fed to turn and cut rates," Paul Christopher, at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, told Bloomberg Radio.
"That's the fundamental disconnect that still exists between the Fed and the market."
And SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes added: "Things can turn on a dime, primarily when the fear of missing (out) drives sentiment.
"However, the odds of a pre-Thanksgiving rally are giving way to the hawkish Fed drumbeat and pushback on China reopening plays."
The pound clawed back some of the losses suffered Thursday after Britain unveiled a budget with 55 billion pounds ($65 billion) of tax hikes and spending cuts that traders fear will deepen a cost-of-living crisis and a recession that could last two years.
- Key figures around 0720 GMT -
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.1 percent at 27,899.77 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.3 percent at 17,997.79
Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.6 percent at 3,097.24 (close)
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.1909 from $1.1867 on Thursday
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0373 from $1.0370
Dollar/yen: DOWN at 139.83 yen from 140.20 yen
Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.13 from 87.34 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.6 percent at $82.11 per barrel
Brent North Sea crude: UP 0.4 percent at $90.09 per barrel
New York - Dow: FLAT at 33,546.32 points (close)
London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,346.54 (close)
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